Today we’re going to discuss everything you need to know about trading volatile markets so that you can take advantage of such market conditions. More specifically, we’ll help you better understand when to avoid trading, what type of trading strategy suits you in such volatile conditions, and how to keep your profits over the long term. Read, enjoy and share for others.
1️⃣ What is Volatility
Given that crypto is a relatively new asset class and the industry is still maturing, naturally there’s a lot of volatility, uncertainty, and speculation attached. It’s important to remember that this fact isn’t inherently good or bad. In fact, volatility can make you extremely wealthy and can be played to your advantage. It only takes a few bad plays, however, to be broke and be forced to start again from scratch. Let’s take the following example: You lose 90% of your account on a series of bad trades in a period of high volatility. Now, you need to 10x your portfolio to get back to where you started. This doesn’t even take into account the emotional and psychological toll this type of loss has. Therefore, whilst volatility is lucrative, it can also be detrimental if not managed properly and needs to be approached with extreme caution. Remember, we’re not trying to succeed for just one or two years. Rather we’re looking to build wealth over ten, twenty, thirty years and pass it down to future generations.
2️⃣ Knowing When to Enter A Volatile Market
Ask yourself, when it comes to crypto do you understand the market you’re entering? Crypto is extremely volatile and within crypto itself there is more and less relative risk based on what you’re trading. It’s not uncommon for a few lower cap altcoins, for example, to lose more than 90% of their value in hours. Again, it’s not inherently bad to trade such altcoins as long as you understand the risk that’s associated with it. When you understand the market of the asset you’re trading or investing in, you can calibrate your expectations and risk accordingly. As an example, you can’t put 90% of your portfolio into an altcoin without expecting possible downside swings of 30%. If you’re not prepared for this, you won’t emotionally be capable of handling the volatility. The key takeaway here is to research as much as you can. Zoom out on the chart and look at how the asset behaves over the course of its history. If you’re curious about how I find the best altcoins to daytrade, check out my YouTube video here.
3️⃣ Having A Trading System
Before entering volatile markets, develop a proven system. Perhaps you recognize, for example, that dollar cost averaging is the best strategy for you since you’re aware of the information that most markets including but not limited to the stock market, real estate, and cryptocurrency from the data we have trend up over time. Or perhaps you understand that rebalancing is a time tested approach to protect your gains so you begin to manage your portfolio in this way. The point we’re making here is that you need to create and leverage a proven system. Check out our FREE guide to see how you can begin leveraging passive income strategies to build wealth. Short term traders need to beeven more meticulous by keeping records of all their trades, leveraging data from backtesting, and even forward testing at times. Following these steps is how you stop gambling and begin profiting.
4️⃣ Maintaining a Long Time Horizon
One of the least stressful ways of handling volatility is by increasing your time horizon. In fact, you could enter a volatile market and ignore the short-term fluctuations by doing so which will allow you to prosper financially, psychologically, and emotionally. You’re happier, spend less time looking at charts, and end up making more money. One effective thing you can do if you’re investing over the long term is strengthen the conviction you have in the assets you’re investing in. Whether that’s Bitcoin, stock market, or property, research the asset and asset class thoroughly to the point where you can argue the good and the bad. It’s critical you take both sides into account before you form a complete thesis. Your conviction will act as a means of handling the volatility and will allow you to hold through big swings. Make sure to check out Part I and Part II of our Fundamental Analysis guide to kickstart your research. Of course, this research is not a substitute for a proper risk management strategy.
5️⃣ How to Trade Volatility
For scalpers and daytraders who want to take advantage of volatility, make sure you have an edge in the market. You can develop this edge, candidly, by putting in thousands of hours of looking at charts, backtesting strategies, and formulating different systems. Once you do this, volatility will be a blessing to trade, but ignoring this step is how you can blow your account. Moreover, ensure that your trading system has been tested specifically for the market conditions you’re trading in real time. Just because your system works at one point does not indicate it will work at another. Finally, be aware of position sizing as scalpers and daytraders often fall prey to slippage during highly volatile markets. Take this into account when developing your risk management and take profit plan. Check out our FREE Risk Management course to begin creating your strategy.
Trading volatile markets is not for everyone. The best thing you can do is be honest with yourself. Choose a strategy you’ve backtested for volatile market conditions and one that fits within your risk tolerance, financial goals, and time horizon. We know traders who have succeeded leveraging a diverse array of strategies. You simply need to find the right strategy for you. If you want to learn more about Koroush’s journey, check out our YouTube video, “How I Became a PROFITABLE Day Trader in 1 Year.”
There’s lots more crypto analysis and insights we’d love to share with you. If this sounds helpful, join over 22,000 others on their journey:
Looking at Ethereum Through On-Chain Analytics
Ethereum has stolen the show recently, with many analysts arguing room for further upside. A quick look on cryptofees shows us that Ethereum dwarfs every blockchain in terms of fees paid (confirming massive demand for $ETH block space). Recall from our on-chain analytics guide that more fees generated signals higher networking activity. Turning to active addresses (which allows us to gauge the level of new adoption, activity and how many people are using the network) the 90d Moving Median continues to climb and make new ATHs.
Other bullish indicators are outlined in this thread. Beyond on-chain analytics, we can also consider the upcoming EIP-1559 upgrade (due in less than 3 months). The impact of which is summarised well here:
“One of the most important features of this upcoming EIP is its effect on ETH's supply. What happens is that the Base Fee is burned. Since this fee is paid in ETH, more ETH gets burned as more transactions occur. This is good news for ETH hodlers since there is the possibility that these fee burns could counteract future ETH inflation. However, this doesn't strictly mean that Ethereum will definitely go deflationary. Rather, EIP-1559 merely introduces a theoretically deflationary mechanism, something Ethereum has hitherto lacked.” - ivanontech
We will share our Ethereum technical analysis in tomorrow’s letter. Make sure you’re on our list.
Many of us know the prices and market capitalization of the top cryptocurrencies. But how many of us know coins purely from the look of their chart? So I pose the question, what coin does the above chart show?
📲 Apply for your virtual card in the App
💰Enjoy up to 8% back on purchases
✅ Available for EU & UK App users, more markets coming soon!
How to Trade Like Alameda with Sam Trabucco
CLICK HERE TO LISTEN 🎧 Sam Trabucco is a quantitative trader at one of the world's best crypto trading firms, Alameda Research.
XRP. Well done if you got this! XRP has been in the news recently since DOGE has flipped it to become a top four crypto currency.
Some of the links we’ve included are affiliate, they give you rewards and discounts and earn us a commission. Disclaimer: The content in this newsletter is for informational purposes only. Nothing in this email is intended to serve as financial advice. We are not financial advisors. Every investment and trading move involves risk. Do your own research when making a decision.